NanoMarkets provides market research and industry analysis of opportunities within advanced materials and emerging energy and electronics markets
- Renewable Energy
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SUMMARY
The promises of organic photovoltaics (OPV) are disruptive pricing and the ability to enable entirely new products such as smart windows and solar-charged cell phones. Despite these promises, utilizing OPV will be challenging. Organic materials offer poor energy conversion ratios when compared to other thin-film PV technologies, even worse when compared to more conventional crystalline-based photovoltaics. In addition, as with all organic electronics, the active material is very susceptible to damage by water vapor and oxygen.
This new report analyzes and quantifies the market for OPV over the next eight years. It provides capacity and market forecasts, profiles both materials and solar panel firms to watch in the OPV space and takes a hard look at investment trends impacting the OPV business.
Beginning with an examination of the current state of the art in OPV, the report discusses performance issues and the various materials options including "pure" polymer approaches, small molecules, DSSC's and hybrid approaches. An analysis follows of future applications of OPV in traditional areas, as well as novel uses in integrated building systems, signage and consumer electronics. The report ends with detailed forecasts of OPV markets broken out by application, production technology and material.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
Executive Summary
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E.1 Evolution of OPV and DSC Technologies
E.1.1 Organic Photovoltaics (OPV)
E.1.2 Dye Sensitized Cells (DSCs)
E.2 Evolution of OPV and DSC Markets
E.2.1 Current Applications Development Efforts
E.2.2 Analysis of Market Opportunities for OPV and DSC Technologies
E.3 DSC and OPV Firms to Watch
E.3.1 DSC Suppliers
E.3.2 OPV Suppliers
E.4 Investment Trends in OPV
E.4.1 VC and Other Private Investment
E.4.2 Government Investment
E.5 Summary of Market ProjectionsChapter One: Introduction
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1.1 Background to this Report
1.1.1 The Rise of New PV Materials
1.1.2 Enter OPV
1.1.3 New Materials for OPV
1.1.4 Markets for OPV and DSC
1.2 Objectives and Scope of this Report
1.3 Methodology of this Report
1.4 Plan of this ReportChapter Two: Technologies and Materials for Organic Photovoltaics
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2.1 Introduction
2.2 Benefits of OPV
2.2.1 Cost
2.2.2 Flexibility and Weight
2.3 Areas for Improvement in OPV Technology
2.3.1 Conversion Efficiencies
2.3.2 Environmental and Long-term Stability
2.3.3 Other
2.4 Materials for OPV
2.4.1 Polymers
2.4.2 Small Molecules
2.4.3 Dye Sensitized Cells (DSCs)
2.4.4 Use of Fullerenes, Carbon Nanotubes and Nanocrystals
2.4.5 Encapsulation, Barrier Coatings and Substrates
2.4.6 Other Materials
2.5 Device Architectures
2.5.1 Bulk Heterojunctions (BHJs)
2.5.2 Tandem Cells
2.6 Manufacturing Approaches
2.6.1 Printing and Solution Processing
2.6.2 Vacuum Deposition
2.6.3 Alternative Deposition Methods
2.7 Key Points in this ChapterChapter Three: Applications for OPV
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3.1 Introduction
3.2 Traditional Solar Panels
3.3 Integrated Building Systems
3.3.1 Roofing
3.3.2 Smart Windows and Walls
3.4 Consumer Electronics
3.4.1 Onboard Battery Chargers for Handheld Devices
3.4.2 Standalone Battery Chargers
3.4.3 Calculators
3.4.4 Watches
3.5 Smart Fabrics
3.5.1 Military Uniforms
3.5.2 Smart Curtains
3.6 Signage
3.7 Progress Toward On-Grid Power Generation
3.7.1 Markets in the U.S
3.7.2 Markets in Europe
3.8 Packaging Applications
3.9 Key Points in this ChapterChapter Four: Profiles of OPV Technology and Materials Developers
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4.1 Introduction
4.2 Dyesol Limited
4.3 Global Photonic Energy Corporation (GPEC)
4.4 G24 Innovations (G24i)
4.4.1 BASF
4.4.2 Cardiff University
4.5 Heliatek
4.5.1 Heliatek and the Bosch/BASF Alliance
4.6 Konarka Technologies
4.6.1 Materials Partners
4.6.2 Scale-up partners
4.6.3 Application Partners
4.7 Merck/EMD
4.7.1 BASF, Bosch, Merck and Schott Alliance
4.8 Peccell Technologies
4.9 Plextronics
4.10 Solarmer (AMREL)
4.11 Others
4.11.1 Botest Systems
4.11.2 Eikos
4.11.3 Isovolta Group
4.11.4 Matsushita
4.11.5 Mitsubishi
4.11.6 Orionsolar
4.11.7 Seiki / Toyota
4.11.8 Solaris Nanosciences Corporation
4.11.9 Solaronix SA
4.11.10 Vitex Systems
4.12 Research Institutions
4.12.1 Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL)Michael Gratzel
4.12.2 Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems (ISE) Andreas Gombert and Michael Niggemann
4.12.3 Johannes Kepler Univeristy's Linzer Institut für Organische Solarzellen (LIOS) - Serdar Sariciftci
4.12.4 National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)
4.12.5 OE-A/VDMA
4.12.6 PETECChapter Five: Eight-Year Forecasts of Organic and Dye Sensitized Cell Photovoltaics
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5.1 Forecasting Methodology
5.1.1 Data Sources
5.1.2 Scope of Forecast
5.2 Assessment of Emerging Capacity for DSC and OPV Production
5.2.1 DSC
5.2.2 OPV
5.3 Forecast of DSC and OPV Capacity Utilization and Production
5.4 Forecast by Application
5.4.1 DSC
5.4.2 OPV
5.4.3 Summary of Forecasts by Materials and Differences from Previous NanoMarkets Forecasts
5.5 Forecast of Manufacturing Technology
5.6 How Much Confidence Should You Have in These Forecasts?
Appendix 1 - Methodology for Reporting Cell Efficiencies
Abbreviations and Acronyms Used in This Report
About the AuthorList of Exhibits
Exhibit E-1: OPV Cell Development: Time Line
Exhibit E-2: DSC Cell Development
Exhibit E-3: Technology Transition for DSC and OPV Efficiencies
Exhibit 3-4: Opportunity Analysis for OPV/DSC Technology
Exhibit E-5: Summary of Revenue Projections for OPV and DSC Technology ($ Millions)
Exhibit 2-1: DSC and OPV Cell Efficiencies
Exhibit 2-2: Benefits of DSC and OPV Cells
Exhibit 2-3: Technology Transitions for PV Costs
Exhibit 2-4: Materials and Technologies Used in OPV Cells
Exhibit 2-5: Selected p-channel Organic Semiconductor Systems
Exhibit 2-6: Selected n-type Organic Semiconductor Systems
Exhibit 2-7: Selected Small Molecules
Exhibit 2-8: DSC Technology Transitions
Exhibit 2-9: DSC - Today's Cost Breakdown
Exhibit 2-10: Comparison of DSC Sensitizer Materials
Exhibit 2-11: Fullerene Based n-Channel Organic Semiconductors
Exhibit 2-12: Transparent Conductive Electrode Comparison
Exhibit 2-13: Indium Tin Oxide Substitutes
Exhibit 2-14: Organic Solar Cell Manufacturing
Exhibit 2-15: Comparison of Common Printing Processes
Exhibit 2-16: Comparison of Inkjet Technologies
Exhibit 2-17: Inkjet Equipment Suppliers
Exhibit 2-18: OVPD Versus Thermal Evaporation
Exhibit 3-1: Technological Developments for DSC and PV by Application
Exhibit 3-2: Selected DSC and OPV Consumer Electronic Applications
Exhibit 3-3: European Feed-in Tariffs
Exhibit 3-4: Competitiveness Between Electricity Generating Cost for PV and Utility Prices
Exhibit 4-1: Selected OPV Material Suppliers
Exhibit 4-2: Selected OPV Technology Developers
Exhibit 4-3: Recent Dyesol Partnership Developments
Exhibit 4-4: G24i's Product Range
Exhibit 4-5: Proposed Properties for Heliatek's OPV Material
Exhibit 4-6: Properties of Konarka's Power Plastic OPV-based Material
Exhibit 4-7: Konarka's OPV-based Material Targets for 2010
Exhibit 4-8: Recent Konarka Partnership Developments
Exhibit 4-9: Merck KGaA/EMD Chemicals OPV Product Range
Exhibit 4-10: Properties of Peccell's OPV Material
Exhibit 4-11: Proposed Properties of Solarmer's OPV Cells
Exhibit 4-12: Isovolta's Encapsulation Material Results
Exhibit 4-13: Proposed Properties of Orionsolar's DSC
Exhibit 4-14: Vitex Product Range
Exhibit 4-15: Selected Research Institutions Developing DSC & OPV Technology
Exhibit 4-16: Suppliers Holding a Pioneer License from EPFL
Exhibit 4-17: OPV Applications
Exhibit 5-1: Worldwide Capacity and Production of Organic and Dye Sensitive Cell Photovoltaics
Exhibit 5-2: Worldwide Market for DSC-based PV
Exhibit 5-3: Worldwide Market for OPV-based PV
Exhibit 5-4: Worldwide Markets or OPV- and DSC- based PV ($ Millions)