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Report

Report #

Nano-192

Published

June 23, 2010

Smart Grid Distribution Equipment Markets - 2010

Categories
  • Smart Grids
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Summary

Much of the opportunity for selling equipment into the Smart Grid is currently perceived as occurring in the distribution segment. This reflects the emphasis by both power companies and regulators on advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) and demand response (DR). But it also reflects the fact that there is a strong perception that the distribution segment of the grid has failed to keep pace with developments in digital communications and control technology.
 
As a result NanoMarkets/Smart Grid Analysis believes that major changes are coming to the transmission sector that will create new opportunities, not just for systems firms, but also for firms that manufacture electronic components, develop IT systems and carry out systems integration at every level.  For equipment makers the new revenue potential will range from new generations of small transformers to distribution automation and communications systems. And in a market where the impact of information technology has to date been fairly minimal, the distribution segment is expected to see revolutionary developments in communications, security and monitoring. 
 
Nonetheless, we believe that it will be easy for firms selling into the Smart Grid distribution sector to get caught up in the hype and overshoot what the market really demands. With this in mind, this new report begins by identifying what the real and pressing demands for equipment from distribution modernization will be as well as the considerable challenges that distribution equipment suppliers face in the Smart Grid market.  The focus of the analysis – and the forecasts – in this report are on four main areas of opportunities in distribution:
 
• Smart grid transformers, switchgear and other hardware for the Smart Grid distribution substation
 
• The equipment that resides on the non-utility customer premises, which is likely to change significantly as metering, demand response and customer power generation becomes more common
 
• Distribution equipment using novel materials/technology such as advanced power electronics and superconductors.  This includes, for example, Fault Current Limiters (FCLs).  We also discuss the role of FACTs (nominally a transmission system) in the distribution sector
 
• Opportunities that are appearing in areas that have exhibited limited technology change in the past; areas such as distribution transformers, conductors, insulators and towers
 
Based on this analysis, this report discusses what the distribution products of the future will look like and where they will fit into future grid architectures.  We provide an eight-year market forecast for all the main equipment categories, broken out by technology, voltage supported, etc. We also profile the product/market strategies of leading suppliers and examine the latest distribution products and technologies aimed at Smart Grid markets.
 
This is a worldwide study of Smart Grid distribution systems, technology and markets and covers developments in North America, Europe, China, India, Japan, Korea, and Latin America.  We believe this report will be essential reading to suppliers of equipment, utilities and investors looking to get a realistic appraisal of where money is being made and will be made in Smart Grid distribution infrastructure. 
 

Table of Contents

Executive Summary
E.1 Why Does the Smart Grid Mean New Opportunities in the Distribution Sector?
E.1.1 Sources of Revenue for Distribution Equipment/Component Firms in the Smart Grid:  Automation, Transformers and Power Electronics
E.1.2 Smart Grid-Related Risks for Distribution Equipment/Component Firms:  It's not the Internet!
E.1.3 Opportunities in Distribution Automation, Communications and Security
E.1.4 Opportunities in Smart Grid Transformers
E.1.5 Smart Grids, FACTS, DC and the Distribution Segment
E.1.6 Fault Current Limiters
E.1.7 Smart Grids and Smart Consumers
E.1.8 Poles, Conductors and Insulators
E.2 Key Firms to Watch in Smart Grid Distribution
E.2.1 Traditional T&D Firms
E.2.2 Firms from the IT and Communications Sectors
E.2.3 Start-ups and their Opportunities
E.3 Summary of Eight-Year Forecasts of Smart Grid Distribution Markets
 
Chapter One Introduction
1.1       Background to this Report
1.1.1 Key Sectors in Smart Grid Distribution Markets
1.1.2 The Distribution Opportunity for Smart Grid is Inherently Large
1.1.3 Distribution Needs the Smart Grid:  Automating the Grid
1.1.4 Distribution Needs the Smart Grid:  New Distribution Functionality Needed
1.1.5 The Smart Grid Distribution Business is "Open to All"
1.1.6 Inherent Risks in the Smart Grid Distribution Business
1.2       Scope and Objective of this Report
1.3       Methodology and Information Sources for this Report
1.4 Plan of this Report
 
Chapter Two: Markets, Drivers and Challenges for  Smart Grid Distribution
2.1 Drivers for Grid Modernization: Reality and Hype
2.1.1 Environmental Policy and Renewable Integration:  Impact on Distribution
2.1.2 Privatization, Deregulation and Transmission for Market Based Transactions
2.2 Core Functional Requirements for Smart Grid Distribution
2.2.1 Congestion:  The Need for Capacity and Monitoring
2.2.2 Reliability and Security:  Current and Future Issues
2.3  Customer Responses and Market Inertia: Conservative Customer Base for Transmission Gear and the Premises Equipment Market
2.3.1 Industrial and Commercial Users:  The Emerging Smart-Premises  Equipment Market
2.3.2 Residential Users:  Solar and Meters
2.4 The Future of Smart Distribution Deployment: International Comparisons
2.4.1 United States
2.4.2 Europe
2.4.3 China
2.4.4 Japan
2.4.5 Korea
2.4.6 India
2.4.7 Latin America
2.5 Key Points from this Chapter
 
Chapter Three:  Products, Systems and Technology for the Smart Grid Distribution Sector
3.1 Introduction:  Smart Grid Products Overview
3.2 Automation and Communications in Grid Distribution
3.2.1 Distribution Automation
3.2.2  Communications: SCADA and Its Infrastructure
3.2.3  Security:  Paradox, Frameworks and Opportunities
3.3  Smart-Grid Sensor Opportunities in the Electrical Distribution Network     (Substation to Customer Smart Meter)
3.3.1 Role of Sensors: Current Opportunities and Future Evolution in the Distribution Network
3.3.2 Smart Sensor Networks and Opportunities to Improve Efficiency  and Reliability
3.3.3 Key Trends in Remote Equipment Inspection and Communication
3.3.4 Integration of Distributed Generation, "Smart-Grid Islands" and Grid  Storage in the Distribution Network
3.4 The Future of Transformers in Smart Grid Distribution
3.4.1 Is There Such a Thing as a "Smart Grid Transformer"?
3.4.2 Transformer Monitoring:  Products and Services
3.5 Emerging FACTS Technology and Grid Distribution
3.6 Fault Current Limiters (FCLs)
3.7 Impact of Standards Development on Smart Grid Distribution Opportunities
3.8 Key Points from this Chapter
 
Chapter Four:  Smart Grid Distribution Suppliers and Strategies
4.1 Introduction
4.2 ABB (Switzerland)
4.2.1 Smart Grid Distribution Projects
4.2.2 Smart Grid Distribution Products
4.2.3 Alliances and Acquisitions in the Smart Grid Distribution Space
4.2.4 NanoMarkets/Smart Analysis' View of ABB
4.3 Areva/Schneider Electric (France)
4.3.1 Areva and Schneider
4.3.2 Areva's Smart Grid Distribution Products and Markets
4.3.3 Schneider's Impact
4.3.4 NanoMarkets/Smart Analysis' View of Areva
4.4 Bharat Heavy Electricals (India)
4.4.1 Smart Grid Distribution Products
4.4.2 Alliance with Toshiba
4.4.3 NanoMarkets/Smart Grid Analysis' View of BHEL
4.5 Cooper Power Systems (U.S.A.)
4.5.1 Smart Grid Distribution Products
4.5.2 Alliances and Acquisitions in the Smart Grid Distribution Space
4.5.3 NanoMarkets/Smart Grid Analysis' View of Cooper
4.6 Crompton Greaves (India)
4.6.1 The Center for Intelligent Power
4.7 Eaton (U.S.A.)
4.7.1 Alliance with Echelon
4.7.2 VaultGuard
4.7.3 Pacific Northwest Smart Grid Demo
4.7.4 NanoMarkets/Smart Grid Analysis' View of Eaton
4.8 Emerson Electric (U.S.A.)
4.8.1 FERC Smart Grid Demo
4.8.2 Bluetooth Involvement
4.8.3 NanoMarkets/Smart Grid Analysis' view of Emerson
4.9 General Electric (U.S.A.)
4.9.1 Smart Grid Transformer Monitoring
4.9.2 GE and Renewable Integration in the Distribution Grid
4.9.3 Smart Grid Projects and Demonstration Centers
4.9.4 GE funding of Smart Grid Ideas
4.9.5 NanoMarkets/Smart Grid Analysis' View of GE
4.10 Mitsubishi (Japan)
4.10.1 Smart Grid Projects in Japan
4.10.2 Smart Grid Projects in the U.S.
4.10.3 NanoMarkets/Smart Grid Analysis' View of Mitsubishi
4.11 S & C (U.S.A.)
4.11.1 IntelliTEAM Automatic Restoration System
4.11.2 High-Speed Fault Clearing System
4.11.3 Automatic Transfer
4.11.4 High-Speed Communications Infrastructure
4.11.5 Distribution VAR Management System
4.11.6 Smart Grid Storage Management System
4.11.7 Marketing and Product Alliances
4.11.8 NanoMarkets/Smart Grid Analysis' View of S&C
4.12 Siemens
4.12.1 Smart Grid Distribution Products
4.12.2 FACTS
4.12.3 Distribution Automation
4.12.4 Hardware/Software Cooperations
4.12.5 Projects Related to Smart Grid Distribution
4.12.6 Metering
4.12.7 NanoMarkets/Smart Grid Analysis' view of Siemens
4.13 Toshiba
4.13.1 Urban Smart Grid Projects in Japan
4.13.2 Okinawa Microgrid Project
4.13.3 Japan-U.S. Smart Grid Collaborative Demonstration Project
4.13.4 Projects in India
4.13.5 NanoMarkets/Smart Grid Analysis' View
4.14 Firms from the IT and Communications Sectors
4.14.1 Cisco
4.14.2 IBM
4.14.3 Intel
4.15 Start-ups and their Opportunities
4.15.1 GridPoint
4.15.2 Silver Spring Networks
4.15.3 Trilliant
 
Chapter Five:  Eight-Year Market Forecasts
5.1 Forecasting Methodology and Data Sources
5.1.1 Project Funding Assumptions are Critical to Forecasting
5.1.2 Data Sources for the Forecasts
5.1.3 Products and Systems Forecasting Assumptions
5.2 Eight-Year Worldwide Forecasts of Intelligent/Smart Grid Transformers by  Region and System Type
5.3 Eight-Year Worldwide Forecasts of Distribution Sector FACTS Markets by  Region and Systems Type
5.4 Eight-Year Worldwide Forecasts of Superconducting FCLs
5.5 Eight-Year Worldwide Forecast of Distribution Automation, Monitoring, Management and Communications Markets by Type and Region Sold
5.6 Summary of Eight-Year Forecasts
Abbreviations and Acronyms Used In this Report
About the Author
 
List of Exhibits:
 
 
Exhibit E-1: Drivers for Smart Grid Technology in the Distribution Sector
Exhibit E-2: Opportunities in Smart Grid Distribution Automation
Exhibit E-3: Key T&D Firms in the Smart Grid Distribution Market.
Exhibit E-4: Summary of Eight-Year Forecasts of Smart Grid Distribution Market ($ Millions)
Exhibit 2-1: Major Recent Power Blackouts
Exhibit 3-1: Traditional Communications Used for SCADA
Exhibit 3-2: Security Standards Applicable to the Smart Grid
Exhibit 3-3: Selected FACTS Types
Exhibit 5-1: Smart Grid Distribution Transformer Markets
Exhibit 5-2: Intelligent/Smart Grid Transformer Markets by Region ($ Millions)
Exhibit 5-3: Worldwide Distribution SVC Market
Exhibit 5-4: Worldwide Distribution SVC Markets by Region ($ Millions)
Exhibit 5-5: Market for FCLs Used in the Smart Grid
Exhibit 5-6: Smart Grid Distribution Automation, Monitoring, Management and  Communication Markets
Exhibit 5-7: Worldwide Distribution Smart Grid Distribution, Automation, Monitoring, Management and Communications by Region ($ Millions)
Exhibit 5-8: Summary of Eight-Year Forecasts of Smart Grid Distribution

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