NanoMarkets provides market research and industry analysis of opportunities within advanced materials and emerging energy and electronics markets
- OLEDs
SEE INSIDE THIS REPORT
- LOGIN / REGISTER TO VIEW
-
SUMMARY
Check the Related Report link on the right for new reports issued since this report was publishedWith new companies entering the OLED lighting business seemingly every month, it is increasingly vital to go beyond the hype and identify why the world really needs OLED lighting and how the manufacturing and marketing of OLED lighting can generate new business revenues.Is the sudden rise of the OLED lighting business just a reaction to the fact that the developed world is phasing out incandescent bulbs leaving a gap that other types of lighting can fill, or is there more to it?This timely report begins by identifying the factors that create mass markets for new lighting technologies, providing a guide to what OLED manufacturers will have to achieve before they can move beyond the current low-volume “designer lighting” phase. As part of this task, this report considers not just the general illumination market, after which OLED lighting makers are mostly chasing, but also the business case that can be made for using OLED lighting in architectural and automotive lighting. In each of these segments it takes a look at how OLED lights can compete with other lighting types, especially LED and fluorescent lights.OLED lighting manufacturers currently target high-priced luminaires, while proclaiming a day in the not-so-distant future when OLED lighting will in some sense “replace” incandescent bulbs and florescent tubes; products that are currently sold at throwaway prices. But how the lighting manufacturers get from here to there, is the proverbial “elephant in the room” in the OLED lighting community. In this report, we set out what it will take to turn OLEDs into the “light bulb of the future,” including design, performance and pricing considerations. And with regard to pricing, we examine how consumers will adapt to pricing based on total cost of ownership models and which segments of the user population will adapt to it fastest.By while the long-term hope for large revenues coming out of the OLED lighting sector may well be by addressing garden variety lighting applications, OLED lighting also makes interesting promises in terms of novel features that may lead to quite new kinds of products. For example, OLEDs can be tunable, flexible and exceedingly thin; all features that are sure to appeal to lighting designers in a number of different lighting markets. What is not so clear is the degree to which these features will appeal to consumers in the lighting market or how they can best be sold.This report analyses all of the above issues and establishes the business case for OLED lighting in its various addressable markets. It is based on NanoMarkets ongoing program of personal and telephone interviews in the OLED lighting space, as well as our companies extensive database of information in this space; NanoMarkets was the first industry analyst firm to cover the OLED lighting space. We have also drawn on NanoMarkets OLED lighting market forecasts, which are updated regularly.We believe that this report will be extremely useful to planners and strategists throughout the lighting industry, as well as OLED firms themselves, along with investors.
-
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Executive Summary
E.1 OLED Lighting: A Push from the Supply SideE.1.1 How to Interpret OLED Lighting Forecasts: What They Mean for Business CasesE.1.2 OLED Lighting: The Emergence of an IndustryE.2 Who in the World Wants OLED Lighting?E.2.1 Who are/will Be the Early Adopters of OLED Lighting?E.2.2 Can OLEDs Replace Light Bulbs?E.3 OLED Lighting: Technical Parameters and ExpectationsE.3.1 Efficacy, OLEDs and Lighting MarketsE.3.2 Luminance, OLEDs and Lighting MarketsE.3.3 Light Quality: Advantage OLEDs?E.4 The Fit Between OLED Lighting and Market Needs Will Change Over TimeE.5 Selling the Market on the Novel Features of OLEDsE.6 Thinking Through the Pricing of OLED LightingChapter One: Introduction1.1 Background to this Report1.1.1 Four Reasons for Skepticism about the Prospects for OLED Lighting1.1.2 Making the Business Case for OLED Lighting1.1.3 From Luxury Light to Tomorrow's Light Bulb1.2 Objective and Scope of this Report1.3 Methodology of this Report1.4 Plan of this ReportChapter Two: Markets, Drivers, Products and Market Gaps2.1 Phasing out Incandescent Lights: How Powerful a Driver for OLED Lighting?2.2 Impact on SSL of Direct Subsidies of CFLs2.3 Early Markets for OLED Lighting: Designers and Designer Lights2.3.1 Markets for OLED Lighting "Designer Kits"2.3.2 Markets for OLED Lighting Designer Luminaires2.4 The Shape of Mass Market OLED Lighting to Come: What Kind of Products?2.4.1 Market Expansion Needs Enhanced OLED Capabilities2.4.2 The Importance of "Panelization" for OLED Market Development2.4.3 Integration with Other Types of Building Materials: Of Smart Windows and Building-Integrated OLED Lighting2.4.4 Is There a Business Case for Flexible Lighting? And Why This Question is So Important2.5 Special Requirements for Commercial and Industrial OLED Lighting: Fitting in With the Existing Lighting Infrastructure2.5.1 OLED Lighting of the Future: OLED Bulbs and Tubes?2.5.2 OLED Lighting of the Future: Special Considerations for Office Lighting2.6 A Note on the Business Case for OLEDs in Architectural Lighting2.7 A Note on the Business Case for OLEDs in Automotive/Vehicular Lighting2.8 Key Points in this ChapterChapter Three: The Business Case for the OLED "Light Bulb"3.1 Can OLED Panels Replace Bulbs and Tubes?3.1.1 Important Conventional Parameters for Measuring OLED Lighting: Efficacy, Luminance and CRI3.1.2 Why is OLED Light Different from All Other Lights?3.2 Required Performance Criteria for General-Purpose OLED Lighting3.2.1 Efficiency/Efficacy3.2.2 Brightness/Luminance3.2.3 Lifetimes3.2.4 Light Quality and CRI3.3 Pricing Considerations for General-Purpose OLED Lighting: OLED Lighting Today Still Out of the Ballpark3.3.1 Traditional Strategies for Reducing OLED Costs3.3.2 Current Pricing Expectations for OLED Lighting3.3.3 Prospects for Consumer Acceptance of Total Cost of Ownership-Based Pricing3.3.4 Appropriate Discount Rates for OLED Pricing/Cost Models3.4 Key Points in this ChapterChapter Four: Products: The Business Case for Special Features in OLED Lighting4.1 What Can an OLED Do, that Other Kinds of Lighting Can't Do?4.1.1 The Case for Value-Added OLED Lighting4.2 Large-Area Format Lighting: OLED Lighting as Panels4.2.1 The Need for Larger Panel Sizes4.2.2 Designing with Flexibility4.2.3 Tunability and Transparency4.3 Opportunities for Luminaire Makers and Designers4.3.1 Luminaire Design Options4.4 Economies of Scale and Manufacturing Issues4.5 Key Points in this ChapterAcronyms and Abbreviations Used In this ReportAbout the AuthorList of Exhibits
Exhibit E-1: Summary of OLED Lighting Markets ($ Millions)
Exhibit E-2: Comparison of Light Source Parameters
Exhibit E-3: Addressable Markets and Niches for OLED Lighting
Exhibit 2-1: Phasing Out the Incandescent Bulb: Policies Worldwide
Exhibit 2-2: Early OLED Lighting Products: Ideas and Concepts
Exhibit 2-3: Business Cases for Flexible OLED Lighting Products
Exhibit 3-1: Early OLED Lighting Products: The Pricing Story So Far
Exhibit 4-1: Unique/Value-Added Opportunities for OLED Lighting