NanoMarkets provides market research and industry analysis of opportunities within advanced materials and emerging energy and electronics markets
REPORT # Nano-760
PUBLISHED December 08, 2014
Market Opportunities for Quantum Dots 2015-2022
CATEGORIES :
- Advanced Materials
- Emerging Electronics
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SUMMARY
NanoMarkets believes that opportunities for commercial use of quantum dots (QDs) have changed dramatically in the past year, and this, our most recent report on QDs, identifies where the money will be made as the a result of these new trends and developments.QDs have now exploded onto the commercial display market and are appearing in displays of all sizes, enabling LCDs with greater color gamut and lower power consumption. These QD-enhanced LCDs are already providing direct competition to OLED displays, raising the question of whether OLED displays will ever take off in the way that was once hoped. At the same time NanoMarkets believes that ability of the QD makers to supply sufficient materials to support future growth is no longer an issue.As a result of these trends, the granular eight-year forecasts of volume shipments and revenue generated contained in this report reflect NanoMarkets growing bullishness about QDs. We have also considered how the QD supply chain is likely to change as the competition between QD suppliers to get the attention of major OEMs increases.Most of the revenue generation from QDs will come from the display industry for the next few years. This is where the money is, and although 2014 saw the introduction of several QD-enhanced LCDs by a number of OEMs, QDs have still penetrated only a very small portion of the LCD market as yet.Potential growth is huge and in the next three to eight years NanoMarkets believe that the QD industry will build upon its success in displays and expand into other commercial applications. These newer markets are also analyzed in this report. NanoMarkets thinks that solid-state lighting, with similar technical requirements to displays, will be the next to market. In the longer term we see potential for commercial development of QDs in solar cells and as fluorescent biomarkers, though both applications currently face substantial technical hurdles. Semiconductor diode lasers are also a potentially important application for QDs.In this report, NanoMarkets discusses opportunities in QDs for companies throughout the supply chain – from QD suppliers to LED component makers to OEMs – and predicts how moves by these companies will affect the growth of the QD industry. We also look at the state of QD technology and what improvements will be needed to enable further growth.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
Executive SummaryE.1 The Explosion of QDs in DisplaysE.1.1 How QDs Can Help the Display IndustryE.1.2 OLEDs Losing Favor, and How This Affects the QD MarketE.2 Companies to Watch Up and Down the Supply ChainE.2.1 QD Raw Material SuppliersE.2.2 Materials Companies Enabling Commercial QD ProductsE.2.3 Display Industry OEMsE.3 Environmental Concerns and Global RegulationsE.4 Potential Opportunities Beyond the Display MarketE.4.1 Solid-State Lighting: Can QDs Improve LEDs?E.4.2 The Solar Industry: Toward Greater EfficiencyE.4.3 Biomedical Applications: Beyond the LaboratoryE.5 Summary of Eight-Year Forecasts of QDs in Displays and Other ApplicationsChapter One: Introduction1.1 Background to this Report1.1.1 Changes since the Last Report1.1.2 Key Markets for Quantum Dots: Displays and More1.1.3 Quantum Dot Materials1.1.4 Quantum Dot LEDs1.2 Objectives and Scope of this Report1.3 Methodology of this Report1.3.1 General Methodology1.3.2 Forecasting Methodology1.4 Plan of this ReportChapter Two: Trends in Quantum Dot Technology and Manufacturing2.1 Materials Options2.1.1 Legacy QD Materials2.1.2 Demand for Cadmium-free QDs2.2 High Volume Manufacturing Becoming a Reality2.2.1 Manufacturing Methods2.2.2 Addressing Reliability and Yield2.3 Improving Performance: Color Range and Lifetime2.3.1 Materials for Commercial Displays2.3.2 Developments in Cadmium-Free Materials2.4 Using the Raw Materials: QD Films and Components2.5 Developing the Supply Chain2.5.1 QD Suppliers Forming Partnerships2.5.2 Impact on the LED industry2.6 Key Points from this ChapterChapter Three: Quantum Dots in Displays3.1 QD-Backlit LCDs Leading the Way3.1.1 QDs Expand into LCD TVs3.1.2 Not Just TVs: Opportunities for QDs in Smaller LCDs3.2 How QDs Will Compete with OLEDs3.2.1 QD-enhanced LCD versus OLED3.2.2 Approaches of Major OEMs3.3 The Future of Direct Emission QD Displays3.4 Forecasting Assumptions for Displays3.4.1 QD Material Requirements3.4.2 QD-LEDs3.5 Eight-Year Forecast of QD Materials in LCD TVs and Monitors3.6 Eight-Year Forecast of QD Materials in Smaller LCDs3.7 Eight-Year Forecast of QD-LEDs in Backlit LCDs3.8 Eight-Year Forecast of QD Materials and Components in Direct-Emission QD Displays3.9 Key Points from this ChapterChapter Four: Other Applications for Quantum Dots4.1 Attempting to Compete with OLEDs in Lighting4.1.1 Factors Affecting the Prospects for QDs in Lighting4.1.2 Positioning of QD Suppliers4.1.3 Points of Entry for QDs in Solid-State Lighting4.2 Eight-Year Forecast of QDs in Lighting4.3 QDs in PV: Long Shot or Winning Strategy?4.3.1 Prospects for QDs in PV4.3.2 Positioning of QD suppliers4.3.3 Development of QD Solar Cells and Forecasting Assumptions4.4 Eight-Year Forecast of QDs in PV4.5 Biomedical Applications: Moving Beyond the Laboratory?4.6 Eight-Year Forecast of QDs in Biomedical Applications4.7 QD Lasers4.8 Key Points from this ChapterAcronyms and Abbreviations Used In this ReportAbout the AuthorList of ExhibitsExhibit E-1: Summary of Revenue Forecasts for QD Materials by Application, 2015-2022 ($ Millions)Exhibit E-2: Summary of Revenue from QD-LED Components by Application, 2015-2022.Exhibit 2-1: QD Materials Options.Exhibit 2-2: Global Regulations Governing Use of Cadmium..Exhibit 2-3: RoHS Exemption Requests Regarding Cadmium in QDs.Exhibit 2-4: Volume Production Capabilities and Commercial Prospects of QD Makers.Exhibit 2-5: Methods for Manufacturing Quantum Dots.Exhibit 2-6: Partnerships Between QD Suppliers and Other Companies.Exhibit 3-1: Commercial LCDs containing Quantum Dots.Exhibit 3-2: Estimation of QD Material Content for Displays.Exhibit 3-3: Forecast of Quantum Dots in Backlit LCD TVs, 2015-2022.Exhibit 3-4: Forecast of Quantum Dots in Small Displays, 2015-2022.Exhibit 3-5: Forecast of QD-LEDs in Backlit Displays, 2015-2022.Exhibit 3-6: Forecast of QD Materials in Direct Emission Displays, 2015-2022.Exhibit 3-7: Forecast of QD-LEDs in Direct Emission Displays, 2015-2022.Exhibit 4-1: Comparison of Different Lighting Technologies.Exhibit 4-2: Forecast of QD-LED Components Used in Solid-State Lighting, 2015-2022.Exhibit 4-3: Forecast of QD Materials used in Solid State Lighting, 2015-2022.Exhibit 4-4: Research into QDs for Solar Cells.Exhibit 4-5: Forecast of QDs used in Solar Cells, 2015-2022.Exhibit 4-6: Biomedical Applications for Quantum Dots.Exhibit 4-7: Forecast of QDs used in Biomedical Applications, 2015-2022