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REPORT # Nano-803 PUBLISHED January 29, 2015
Organic Photovoltaics Markets 2015-2022
  • Renewable Energy
    NanoMarkets has covered the technologies and market opportunities for organic photovoltaics (OPV) for nearly seven years. Here we examine how this market has evolved since our last in-depth report in 2012, from the latest technology improvements to readiness for penetrating end-markets.
    In this report we explore recent improvements in OPV technologies from materials to device structures, even as the supplier landscape has changed. This report also looks at progress being made toward commercial viability in OPV's target markets, now entering what seems to be a final stage of preparation (demo projects) to clear up visibility on the runway for getting these products into end markets. We also update the competitive scenario between related alternative solar PV technologies (OPV, DSC, and some thin-film varieties) as they jostle for position vying for success in the same places — including the sudden emergence of a potentially strong competitor on the horizon: perovskites.
    This report includes detailed eight-year forecasts for OPV materials and devices, and for the various markets where we expect OPV to enter the market — or at least where proponents hope it will — from building-integrated (BIPV) and building-applied (BAPV) structures to power-charging devices in various form-factors, from tiny panels to awnings and even conventional panels.
    This report is designed to be especially valuable for marketing and business development executives involved with solar power technologies as well as the targeted end-markets (BIPV/BAPV and solar chargers), as well as investors seeking to profit from such technologies and the companies behind them.
    Executive Summary
    E.1 What's Changed in OPV
    E.1.1 Moving the Goalposts, Again:  Towards Realistic Expectations for OPV
    E.2 Technology Update: Final Steps Toward Commercial Readiness
    E.2.1 Moving That Efficiency Needle
    E.2.2 What's Holding Back Lifetime Improvements?
    E.2.3 Preparing for Production
    E.2.4 Materials Trends
    E.2.5 Device Structure Trends
    E.3 Fighting for Position, and a New Threat Arises
    E.3.1 The Threat of DSC and Perovskites
    E.3.2 CIGS versus OPV
    E.4 Application Update: Entering the Promised Land
    E.4.1 Then as Now, BIPV Beckons
    Chapter One: Introduction
    1.1 Background to this Report
    1.1.1 OPV Struggling But Good Long-Term Potential
    1.1.2 OPV, DSC, CIGS: Where They Stand
    1.1.3 Key Technical Challenges and Probable Solutions for OPV
    1.1.4 Markets for OPV: Decisions, Decisions
    1.2 Objective and Scope of this Report
    1.3 Methodology of Report
    1.4 Plan of this Report
    Chapter Two: Technology Trends in Organic Photovoltaics
    2.1 The Latest OPV Performance Improvements
    2.1.1 Efficiency: Cracking the Double-Digits Code
    2.1.2 Lifetimes: Still A Long Way to Go
    2.1.3 Production Approaches: Progress for Printing
    2.2 Materials Trends
    2.2.1 Polymer vs. Solutions: Evening the Playing Field
    2.2.2 Finding the Right Transparent Conductor
    2.2.3 Graphene as a Photoactive Layer
    2.2.4 Fullerene-free Acceptor Materials
    2.2.5 A Word About Substrates
    2.2.6 Research Directions in OPV Materials
    2.3 Device Structure Trends
    2.3.1 Improved Hole and Electron Extraction Layers
    2.3.2 Moving toward Tunable Bandgap and Solubility
    2.3.3 Stack for Success: From Single to Tandem/Cascading Architectures
    2.4 Collaborative Industry OPV Research Efforts
    2.5 Key Points from this Chapter
    Chapter Three: Markets for OPV
    3.1 Making the Case for OPV
    3.2 Competitive Advantages: OPV, DSC, and Thin-Film
    3.2.1 OPV and DSC: Where Are They Now?
    3.2.2 Thin-Film: CIGS and CdTe
    3.3 Application Status of OPV
    3.3.1 BIPV: Ready or Not?
    3.3.2 Solar Chargers: Near-Term Lure, Long-Term Mirage?
    3.4.3 Other Off-Grid Applications: Can the Case Still be Made?
    3.3.4 Which Market Strategy Is Right for OPV Right Now?
    3.4 Key Points from This Chapter
    Chapter Four: OPV Vendors and Suppliers, Strategies and Technologies
    4.1.1 Technology Summary
    4.1.2 Areas of Technology Improvements
    4.1.3 Manufacturing Progress
    4.1.4 Market Strategy
    4.1.5 Key Partnership: AGC
    4.1.6 Pilot Projects in the Field
    4.1.7 Funding Picture
    4.2 Armor Group (France)
    4.2.1 Market Strategy
    4.2.2 Technology Progress
    4.2.3 Business Outlook
    4.3 Belectric (Germany)
    4.3.1 OPV Products
    4.3.2 Key Partnerships
    4.3.3 Business Outlook
    4.4 AGC (Japan)
    4.4.1 Market Strategy
    4.4.2 Business Outlook
    4.5 Mitsubishi Chemical (Japan)
    4.5.1 Technology Progress
    4.5.2 Pilot Project
    4.5.3 Business Outlook
    4.6 Next Energy (United States)
    4.6.1 Technology Summary
    4.6.2 Market Strategy
    4.6.3 Emphasis on Partnerships
    4.6.4 Funding and Investors
    4.7 Merck (Germany)
    4.7.1 Technology Collaborations
    4.8 CSEM Brasil (Switzerland/Brazil)
    4.8.1 Market Strategy
    4.8.2 Technology Progress
    4.8.3 Business Outlook
    4.9 Sumitomo Chemical (Japan)
    4.9.1 Technology Progress
    4.9.2 Business Outlook
    4.10 Toshiba (Japan)
    4.10.1 Technical Progress
    4.10.2 Business Outlook
    4.11 BASF (Germany)
    4.11.1 Key Partnerships
    4.11.2 Market Strategy
    4.12 Solarmer (United States)
    4.12.1 Technical Progress
    4.12.2 Market Strategy
    4.12.3 Business Outlook
    4.13 Heraeus (Germany)
    4.13.1 Technical Progress
    4.13.2 Market Strategy and Business Outlook
    4.14 Eight19 (U.K.)
    4.14.1 Technical Progress
    4.14.2 Market Strategy
    4.14.3 Business Outlook
    4.15 DisaSolar (France)
    4.15.1 Market Strategy
    4.15.2 Technology Progress
    4.15.3 Key Partnerships
    4.16 Past Praise: Where Are They Now?
    4.16.1 Konarka
    4.16.2 Global Photonic Energy
    4.16.3 New Energy Technologies
    4.16.4 Polyera
    Chapter Five: Eight-Year Forecasts and Market Analysis for OPV
    5.1 Key Factors Driving OPV
    5.1.1 Forecasting Methodology
    5.1.2 Assumptions and Scenarios
    5.2 Eight-Year Forecasts for OPV
    5.2.1 Off-Grid OPV Markets
    5.2.2 Grid-Connected Markets
    5.2.3 OPV Materials and Devices
    5.2.4 Summaries of OPV Markets
    Acronyms and Abbreviations Used In this Report
    About the Author
    List of Exhibits
    Exhibit E-1: Recent BIPV Pilot Projects for OPV.. 
    Exhibit E-2: Summary of OPV Market by Applications 2015-2022. 
    Exhibit 2-1: OPV Efficiency-Related Improvements. 
    Exhibit 2-2: Polymer vs. Oligomer OPV Pros and Cons. 
    Exhibit 2-3: Important Parameters for Transparent Conductors Used for PV Electrodes. 
    Exhibit 2-4: Forecast of Transparent Conductive Materials Requirement in OPV.. 
    Exhibit 2-5: Structure of a Bulk Heterojunction OPV Cell Architecture. 
    Exhibit 2-6: Industry Collaborative OPV Research Projects. 
    Exhibit 3-1: OPV Firms and their Go-To-Market Goals. 
    Exhibit 3-2: BIPV glass in Various Applications and its Opportunities. 
    Exhibit 3-3: OE-A Expectations for OPV Market Penetration. 
    Exhibit 5-1: Efficiency Improvements Over Time in the OPV Market 2015-2022. 
    Exhibit 5-2: Off-Grid OPV Market by Applications 2015-2022. 
    Exhibit 5-3: Grid-Connected OPV Market by Applications 2015-2022. 
    Exhibit 5-4: BIPV Market Scenarios. 
    Exhibit 5-5: OPV Materials Market 2015-2022. 
    Exhibit 5-6: Summary of the OPV Market 2015-2022. 
    Exhibit 5-7: Summary of OPV Market by Applications 2015-2022. 


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