NanoMarkets provides market research and industry analysis of opportunities within advanced materials and emerging energy and electronics markets
REPORT # Nano-803
PUBLISHED January 29, 2015
Organic Photovoltaics Markets 2015-2022
CATEGORIES :
- Renewable Energy
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SUMMARY
NanoMarkets has covered the technologies and market opportunities for organic photovoltaics (OPV) for nearly seven years. Here we examine how this market has evolved since our last in-depth report in 2012, from the latest technology improvements to readiness for penetrating end-markets.In this report we explore recent improvements in OPV technologies from materials to device structures, even as the supplier landscape has changed. This report also looks at progress being made toward commercial viability in OPV's target markets, now entering what seems to be a final stage of preparation (demo projects) to clear up visibility on the runway for getting these products into end markets. We also update the competitive scenario between related alternative solar PV technologies (OPV, DSC, and some thin-film varieties) as they jostle for position vying for success in the same places — including the sudden emergence of a potentially strong competitor on the horizon: perovskites.This report includes detailed eight-year forecasts for OPV materials and devices, and for the various markets where we expect OPV to enter the market — or at least where proponents hope it will — from building-integrated (BIPV) and building-applied (BAPV) structures to power-charging devices in various form-factors, from tiny panels to awnings and even conventional panels.This report is designed to be especially valuable for marketing and business development executives involved with solar power technologies as well as the targeted end-markets (BIPV/BAPV and solar chargers), as well as investors seeking to profit from such technologies and the companies behind them.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
Executive SummaryE.1 What's Changed in OPVE.1.1 Moving the Goalposts, Again: Towards Realistic Expectations for OPVE.2 Technology Update: Final Steps Toward Commercial ReadinessE.2.1 Moving That Efficiency NeedleE.2.2 What's Holding Back Lifetime Improvements?E.2.3 Preparing for ProductionE.2.4 Materials TrendsE.2.5 Device Structure TrendsE.3 Fighting for Position, and a New Threat ArisesE.3.1 The Threat of DSC and PerovskitesE.3.2 CIGS versus OPVE.4 Application Update: Entering the Promised LandE.4.1 Then as Now, BIPV BeckonsChapter One: Introduction1.1 Background to this Report1.1.1 OPV Struggling But Good Long-Term Potential1.1.2 OPV, DSC, CIGS: Where They Stand1.1.3 Key Technical Challenges and Probable Solutions for OPV1.1.4 Markets for OPV: Decisions, Decisions1.2 Objective and Scope of this Report1.3 Methodology of Report1.4 Plan of this ReportChapter Two: Technology Trends in Organic Photovoltaics2.1 The Latest OPV Performance Improvements2.1.1 Efficiency: Cracking the Double-Digits Code2.1.2 Lifetimes: Still A Long Way to Go2.1.3 Production Approaches: Progress for Printing2.2 Materials Trends2.2.1 Polymer vs. Solutions: Evening the Playing Field2.2.2 Finding the Right Transparent Conductor2.2.3 Graphene as a Photoactive Layer2.2.4 Fullerene-free Acceptor Materials2.2.5 A Word About Substrates2.2.6 Research Directions in OPV Materials2.3 Device Structure Trends2.3.1 Improved Hole and Electron Extraction Layers2.3.2 Moving toward Tunable Bandgap and Solubility2.3.3 Stack for Success: From Single to Tandem/Cascading Architectures2.4 Collaborative Industry OPV Research Efforts2.5 Key Points from this ChapterChapter Three: Markets for OPV3.1 Making the Case for OPV3.2 Competitive Advantages: OPV, DSC, and Thin-Film3.2.1 OPV and DSC: Where Are They Now?3.2.2 Thin-Film: CIGS and CdTe3.3 Application Status of OPV3.3.1 BIPV: Ready or Not?3.3.2 Solar Chargers: Near-Term Lure, Long-Term Mirage?3.4.3 Other Off-Grid Applications: Can the Case Still be Made?3.3.4 Which Market Strategy Is Right for OPV Right Now?3.4 Key Points from This ChapterChapter Four: OPV Vendors and Suppliers, Strategies and Technologies4.1.1 Technology Summary4.1.2 Areas of Technology Improvements4.1.3 Manufacturing Progress4.1.4 Market Strategy4.1.5 Key Partnership: AGC4.1.6 Pilot Projects in the Field4.1.7 Funding Picture4.2 Armor Group (France)4.2.1 Market Strategy4.2.2 Technology Progress4.2.3 Business Outlook4.3 Belectric (Germany)4.3.1 OPV Products4.3.2 Key Partnerships4.3.3 Business Outlook4.4 AGC (Japan)4.4.1 Market Strategy4.4.2 Business Outlook4.5 Mitsubishi Chemical (Japan)4.5.1 Technology Progress4.5.2 Pilot Project4.5.3 Business Outlook4.6 Next Energy (United States)4.6.1 Technology Summary4.6.2 Market Strategy4.6.3 Emphasis on Partnerships4.6.4 Funding and Investors4.7 Merck (Germany)4.7.1 Technology Collaborations4.8 CSEM Brasil (Switzerland/Brazil)4.8.1 Market Strategy4.8.2 Technology Progress4.8.3 Business Outlook4.9 Sumitomo Chemical (Japan)4.9.1 Technology Progress4.9.2 Business Outlook4.10 Toshiba (Japan)4.10.1 Technical Progress4.10.2 Business Outlook4.11 BASF (Germany)4.11.1 Key Partnerships4.11.2 Market Strategy4.12 Solarmer (United States)4.12.1 Technical Progress4.12.2 Market Strategy4.12.3 Business Outlook4.13 Heraeus (Germany)4.13.1 Technical Progress4.13.2 Market Strategy and Business Outlook4.14 Eight19 (U.K.)4.14.1 Technical Progress4.14.2 Market Strategy4.14.3 Business Outlook4.15 DisaSolar (France)4.15.1 Market Strategy4.15.2 Technology Progress4.15.3 Key Partnerships4.16 Past Praise: Where Are They Now?4.16.1 Konarka4.16.2 Global Photonic Energy4.16.3 New Energy Technologies4.16.4 PolyeraChapter Five: Eight-Year Forecasts and Market Analysis for OPV5.1 Key Factors Driving OPV5.1.1 Forecasting Methodology5.1.2 Assumptions and Scenarios5.2 Eight-Year Forecasts for OPV5.2.1 Off-Grid OPV Markets5.2.2 Grid-Connected Markets5.2.3 OPV Materials and Devices5.2.4 Summaries of OPV MarketsAcronyms and Abbreviations Used In this ReportAbout the AuthorList of ExhibitsExhibit E-1: Recent BIPV Pilot Projects for OPV..Exhibit E-2: Summary of OPV Market by Applications 2015-2022.Exhibit 2-1: OPV Efficiency-Related Improvements.Exhibit 2-2: Polymer vs. Oligomer OPV Pros and Cons.Exhibit 2-3: Important Parameters for Transparent Conductors Used for PV Electrodes.Exhibit 2-4: Forecast of Transparent Conductive Materials Requirement in OPV..Exhibit 2-5: Structure of a Bulk Heterojunction OPV Cell Architecture.Exhibit 2-6: Industry Collaborative OPV Research Projects.Exhibit 3-1: OPV Firms and their Go-To-Market Goals.Exhibit 3-2: BIPV glass in Various Applications and its Opportunities.Exhibit 3-3: OE-A Expectations for OPV Market Penetration.Exhibit 5-1: Efficiency Improvements Over Time in the OPV Market 2015-2022.Exhibit 5-2: Off-Grid OPV Market by Applications 2015-2022.Exhibit 5-3: Grid-Connected OPV Market by Applications 2015-2022.Exhibit 5-4: BIPV Market Scenarios.Exhibit 5-5: OPV Materials Market 2015-2022.Exhibit 5-6: Summary of the OPV Market 2015-2022.Exhibit 5-7: Summary of OPV Market by Applications 2015-2022.